Tim Gillett wrote:Hugh Robjohns wrote:Arpangel wrote:...his knowledge of what would make certain things happen to other things in circuit design was incredible.
As Arthur C. Clarke wrote: “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic”
Yes to those who dont understand the technology. The person most qualified to judge the abilities of an alleged expert is... another expert in the same field.
Yes, it's definitely a better option but it's important to keep in mind that it's far from perfect. Being human, experts can also biased in some form - and, like anybody else, often unaware of their biases. And whether and expert opinion or not is worth of consideration depends on the methods he/she uses and the form in which he/she communicates that opinion. "expert" alone is, alas, about personal recognition more than factual expertise. There's plenty "experts" on YouTube on all sorts of things.
Which is what leads to the scientific method and the scientific consensus: the method demands a reproducible way to produce an observation, plus a transparent way to use it to reach a conclusion. The consensus demands that the same observation and conclusion be reached independently by the majority of a large number of experts. It's a probability game.
So in a way a judgement is solid only when it's subject to experiment, can be followed and it's agreed upon by a sizable number of people who have done both.
Even that can lead to bad results of course, since it's sometimes hard to ensure to be sure that what you observing is what you're thinking you're observing (see Feynman's
"Cargo Cult Science" for a good example), and even independent experts will in the end use similar tools and conceptual frameworks, so group thinking can still creep in. But it's much rarer and since experts die and get replaced with other with different personalities and life situations, there's a very high chance that sooner or later someone will refuse the group thinking.
Sometimes it takes quite a bit. But forward we go, in bounces and leaps and the occasional lunch break.
